No.558
No one can reliably predict the IDMC’s judgment. However, an important signal has emerged.
SLS's estimate: 1.67 events/month
(60→80 events)
Actual: 0.95 events/month("43% slowdown")
(60→72 events)
This deceleration indicates that GPS has entered a stage "beyond the predictive control of SLS and external experts". Based on the observed rate, the 80th event would be expected to fall around September 2026. ー One year before the New York office lease expires in September 2027...
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